The
decision by the European Central Bank to reduce its main refinancing
rate from 0.75 percent to 0.5 percent was hailed as a positive step by
experts in Britain.Nancy Curtin, chief investment officer of Close
Brothers Asset Management, told Xinhua, "Growth is decelerating in the
eurozone, not just in the periphery but the core as well. The ECB's move
to cut rates is a positive step away from austerity, and a step towards
growth."She added, "There have been about five quarters of GDP
contraction, and in this quarter it looks as though contraction could
accelerate from 0.Used loaders9
to 1.5 percent; and the PMI figures have been negative for seven
quarters."This is the first ECB cut in rates since July 2012, and
reflects the worsening situation since that time.At the beginning of
this week, eurozone unemployment hit a new high at 12.1 percent with
unemployment in Spain -- one of the worst-affected countries -- at 26.7
percent.Curtin said that while trimming rates should bolster public
confidence, by itself it may not be enough to stimulate increased
economic activity.She said, "One of the key hurdles to growth in the
eurozone is the restricted supply of credit to SMEs. We would welcome an
ECB equivalent of the British Funding for Lending Scheme, which could
be a shot in the arm for many weakening European economies."Cutting 25
basis points off the re-fi rate would reduce the interest rates paid by
banks on their liquidity, said Curtin, but as Mario Draghi said this was
only part of the solution.Vintage bath fixturesCurtin
said Draghi had indicated that the ECB might consider a negative
interest rate on the funds deposited with them by banks, to further
stimulate lending instead of sitting on it."The liquidity goes to the
banks and the banks just repark it at the ECB and earn 50 basis points,"
she commented.
Curtin
said that given weakening economic data, she believed there was a need
to see more bold moves towards a pro-growth policy from individual
governments -- as well as the ECB -- before investors could begin to get
excited about EU equities again.The ECB's decision to implement a rate
cut had "looked inevitable" in the face of the latest disappointing data
and survey evidence which indicated continuing economic weakness across
the eurozone, according IHS Global Insight's Howard Archer.
Archer said,carbon cloth "Any
potential help to the eurozone economy in its current state is
worthwhile, and a move is certainly justified by consumer price
inflation."CPI across the eurozone is just 1.2 percent for April,Antique tubs having
taken a clear and sharp 0.5 percent fall from the March figure,
significantly below the ECB target of 2 percent, and giving ample
headroom to allow the ECB to take action.Archer said the ECB's cut may
have a downward impact on bond yields as well as some softening impact
on the euro, which "would be generally helpful to growth
prospects."However, Archer cautioned, "Having said that, any further
impact on bond yields is likely to be modest as the ECB's cut has been
increasingly anticipated and it may already be, at least partially,
incorporated in current bond prices."Archer also pointed to a
significant statement by ECB Mario Draghi during a press conference
after the rate cut announcement, which indicated there could well be a
further fall in the rate in the future."Draghi also stated that the ECB
would monitor very closely all incoming data and stands ready to act.tire changer This
suggests that an interest rate cut to 0.25 percent is far from
inconceivable," said Archer.Such a cut was "a very real possibility,"
said Archer, if eurozone growth remained elusive and inflation remained
below target.
No comments:
Post a Comment